Poll Shows Civic Coalition Lead, Braun Party Surge

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The news in Polish

1. sondaż  (m.)
   badanie opinii ludzi na jakiś temat, zwykle przez zadawanie pytań wielu osobom ↩︎
2. poparcie  (n.)
   zgoda na coś i chęć pomocy komuś lub czemuś; sytuacja, gdy ktoś na kogoś głosuje lub go wspiera ↩︎
3. Konfederacja  (f.)
   nazwa własna partii politycznej w Polsce ↩︎
4. procent  (m.)
   część całości wyrażona w setnych częściach; liczba ze znakiem % ↩︎
5. Lewica  (f.)
   nazwa własna ugrupowania / partii politycznej o lewicowych poglądach w Polsce ↩︎
6. wyborczy
   związany z wyborami, dotyczący głosowania i wybierania osób do władz ↩︎

Translation

Text comprehension

Question 1: According to the poll, which political group is in first place in Poland?

Question 2: What is happening with Grzegorz Braun’s party in the poll?

Vocabulary

Polish	English
sondaż  (m.)	survey
poparcie  (n.)	support
Konfederacja  (f.)	Confederation (Polish political party)
procent  (m.)	percent
Lewica  (f.)	The Left (Polish left‑wing party)
wyborczy	electoral

Read the full story

A new opinion poll in Poland shows the centrist Civic Coalition (Koalicja Obywatelska, KO) strengthening its position as the leading political force, while the party of far‑right politician Grzegorz Braun records the biggest increase in support.

The survey was carried out by the research institute Opinia24 for the news channel TVN24 between 4 and 7 December. It was conducted on a representative sample of 1,001 adult Poles using both telephone interviews (CATI) and online questionnaires (CAWI).

According to the poll, the Civic Coalition would come first in a parliamentary election with 32.9 percent of the vote. This is an increase of 1.2 percentage points compared with the previous survey by the same agency at the beginning of December. Several Polish media describe KO as the party currently enjoying the greatest trust among Polish voters.

In second place is the conservative-nationalist Law and Justice (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość, PiS), led by Jarosław Kaczyński. It receives 24.6 percent support, which is a drop of 0.5 percentage points from the earlier poll. Commentators note that PiS remains the main rival to the Civic Coalition but is now several points behind.

Third position goes to the right‑wing alliance Confederation (Konfederacja), led in part by Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Bosak. It would be backed by 13.2 percent of respondents, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points. Polish outlets underline that this means a visible weakening compared with the start of December, although the group would still comfortably enter parliament.

The most notable change in the poll concerns the smaller nationalist party Confederation of the Polish Crown (Konfederacja Korony Polskiej, KKP), headed by Grzegorz Braun. It reaches 9.6 percent support, which is a rise of 3.4 percentage points and the largest increase among all parties measured. Different news reports stress that this result would allow Braun’s party to cross the five‑percent electoral threshold and puts it just behind the three largest forces.

The Left (Lewica), a grouping of left‑wing parties, receives 4.7 percent. This is a fall of 1.9 percentage points and places it just below the electoral threshold required to enter the Sejm, Poland’s lower house of parliament. Earlier surveys from the same pollster had shown the Left above that barrier, so Polish media highlight this as an important negative shift for the party.

Several smaller parties remain well below the threshold. The left‑wing Together party (Partia Razem) is supported by 2.5 percent of respondents, down 2.1 percentage points. The agrarian and centrist Polish People’s Party (Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe, PSL) reaches 2.4 percent, which is an increase of 1.2 percentage points but still far from parliamentary representation. The centrist, reform‑oriented Poland 2050 (Polska 2050) is chosen by 1.8 percent, a decline of 1 percentage point.

In addition, 3 percent of those surveyed say they would vote for another party not listed among the main options. This category can include very small or newly formed groups that currently do not play a major role in national politics.

Polish media emphasise different aspects of the same numbers. Some focus on the stable lead and gradual rise of the Civic Coalition and the ongoing competition with Law and Justice. Others point to the rapid growth of Grzegorz Braun’s party as a striking development on the right of the political spectrum. At the same time, there is wide agreement in the coverage that the Left and other smaller parties are facing serious difficulties because they remain under the parliamentary threshold in this poll.

Journalists also remind readers that this is a single survey and not an election result. Polls show voter intentions at a given moment and can change quickly, especially when support for several parties is close to the electoral threshold. For observers outside Poland, the poll offers a snapshot of a political scene where the centrist Civic Coalition leads, Law and Justice stays the main opposition force, and smaller right‑wing and left‑wing parties compete for space under shifting public support.

Info: ‘Polish Learner News’ is a service from ‘Let’s Learn Polish’, a language school dedicated to teaching Polish through various online courses and Polish language classes.